June 4, 2026 · BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2025-088687

Estimates of global causes of death for children and adolescents aged 5-19 in 2000-24: secondary data analysis using bayesian multinomial logistic regression

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The authors aimed to estimate cause-specific mortality among children and adolescents aged 5-19 years across 195 countries from 2000 to 2024 using a Bayesian multinomial logistic regression model. Their findings revealed that road traffic injuries, malaria, and neoplasms were the leading causes of death in this age group, with significant regional variations and a concerning stagnation in the decline of deaths from communicable and maternal conditions since 2015. The study underscores the need for targeted interventions to address both emerging and neglected health issues among children and adolescents to meet global health goals.

Hallie Eilerts-Spinelli, Francisco Villavicencio, Jamie Perin, David Prieto-Merino, Astha Wahi, Lucia Hug, Kathleen L Strong, Robert E Black, Li Liu

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